The Scottish aviation gateway - problems, prospects and policy possibilities

Margaret Grieco, Professor of Transport and Society, Napier University, Edinburgh  and Visiting Full Professor, Cornell University, Ithaca, N.Y.

The provision of a good airport infrastructure and direct air links to other centres of economic activity is vitally important to the development and competitiveness of any economy. Given its relative geographic isolation, this might be said to apply especially to Scotland as a whole. The existence of a network of air services that meet the needs of Scotland’s travelling public is important to economic growth and can help to attract inward investment.Scottish Council for Development and Industry, 2001

1.Introduction: characterising the present.

The remoteness of Scotland from its 'parent' government has its consequence in the quality of its communication infrastructure and in this context the use of aviation to reduce communication distances in respect of health, wealth and political activity receives much comment within Scottish discourse. Parliamentary questions to the newly fledged regional government of Scotland frequently focus on the need to sustain air routes which are under present threat from commercial pressures in the current configuration of aviation regulations and commercial competition (http://www.scottish.parliament.uk/official_report/wa-01/wa0917.htm). Similarly, there is concern that policy measures and practices developed to meet the needs of other parts of the British aviation sector can have detrimental affects on Scottish aviation facilities:

S1W-25585 Tommy Sheridan: To ask the Scottish Executive what representations it has made, or will make, to (a) Her Majesty’s Government, (b) the Civil Aviation Authority and (c) BAA Scottish Airports to ensure that airport tax levels at (i) Glasgow, (ii) Edinburgh and (iii) Aberdeen Airports are not set at a level which would put these airports and the airline operators who use them at any economic disadvantage or would act as a disincentive to tourists and visitors using these airports.

S1W-25586 Tommy Sheridan: To ask the Scottish Executive what representations it has made, or will make, to BAA Scottish Airports to ensure the economic competitiveness of (a) Glasgow, (b) Edinburgh and (c) Aberdeen Airports.( http://www.scottish.parliament.uk/agenda_and_decisions/bb-02/bb-05-03e.htm

Concerns about the intensification of remoteness as a consequence of the commercialisation and privatisation of primary communication services such as mail delivery interact with concerns about aviation (http://www.scotlibdems.org.uk/press/0207093.htm. The viability of communities and the economic welfare of remote communities are adversely affected by facing higher commercial charges as a consequence of a combination of their remoteness and small market base in a context where cross subsidies of essential services such as mail delivery are withdrawn and uniform postal rates no longer hold. Internal aviation and its viability clearly have an important role to play in such a context and internal aviation gateways to effective economic and social development clearly require consideration.

The viability of internal aviation is only part of the Scottish aviation gateway story: the importance of international aviation for Scottish economic and social development also requires consideration. There has been widespread acceptance that long distance international aviation access to Scotland will take place through interlining as a consequence of the small scale of the Scottish market:

It has always been SCDI policy to fully support and encourage the development of commercially viable direct flights from Scotland. Given the limited size of the Scottish market, it has been accepted that demand is unlikely to be sufficient to support a comprehensive range of international services. Interlining with major hub airports, such as London Heathrow and Amsterdam Schiphol, will always attract a proportion of those who travel abroad from Scotland, even when there are alternative direct services and is thus of considerable importance to Scottish air transport. Interlining has enabled services to be provided that would not sustain a direct connection due to lack of demand in Scotland. Business travellers often require the sort of flexibility and high frequency of service that hub airports can offer. (http://www.scdi.org.uk/policy_library/Future_of_Aviation_Response_12Apr01.doc)

However, it has also been noted that the increasing busyness of Heathrow may contain very negative consequences for Scottish aviation traffic and may reveal the limits of interlining as a strategy commensurate with Scottish development:

It should be noted, however, that increasing pressure due to lack of international terminal capacity at Heathrow could, in the near future, have detrimental impacts on Scottish interlining connections as domestic flights are gradually excluded to allow access to more profitable international flights. Furthermore, business transfer passengers to and from Scotland require good terminal facilities at Heathrow to ensure an efficient journey. If problems or delays are encountered leading to a perception that travel to and from Scotland is difficult this could have a negative impact on future inward investment.(http://www.scdi.org.uk/policy_library/Future_of_Aviation_Response_12Apr01.doc)

2. Policy and policy agencies.

British Government policy documents recognise that current commercial pressures on Heathrow favour the allocation of slots to international traffic over the allocation of slots to 'thin' internal airline routes and markets: the consequence is that Heathrow fails to serve or deliver an interlining service to Scottish regional airports such as Inverness:

This has accelerated the trend to reassign slots at major airports to the most profitable routes. These are mostly the intercontinental routes and others with high volumes of business passengers. This may mean that on thin routes (including many domestic services), services primarily aimed at leisure travellers and all-cargo services might be reduced or squeezed out of the most congested airports. For example, during the 1990s Birmingham, Guernsey, Inverness[1] and Liverpool lost their services to Heathrow and therefore lost access to its worldwide network of routes. Frequencies have been reduced on other domestic routes out of Heathrow, such as Teesside and Leeds Bradford, and there has been a considerable reduction in dedicated freighter movements and business aviation activity at Heathrow.( http://www.aviation.dft.gov.uk/consult/future/08.htm)

Overall Britain has been relatively slow in moving to correct the problems experienced by remote areas as the uniform service levels of the public sector welfare state have been rolled back in favour of privatised, competitive commercial forms. As we shall see in later sections of this short paper, Britain has been slow to make use of Public Service Obligation Orders permitted by European trade law in ensuring that remote communities do not pay inequitable prices to achieve access to civic participation whilst other member states have made use of PSOOs to ensure that a communication safety net is placed beneath their populations in remote locations (http://www.parliament.the-stationery-office.co.uk/pa/cm200102/cmhansrd/cm020508/halltext/20508h05.htm). The importance of aviation as a gateway for remote communities to civic participation has received very little British policy attention indeed and interestingly pressure to use the PSOOs has recently been applied by the MP for Orkney and Shetlands, a remote community sitting on the route and in the vicinity of the wealth pipes of North Sea Oil.

More flexibility has been found in Government responses to less remote Scottish locations and potentially less thin routes. The SCDI has called for the establishment of and extension of Fifth Freedom rights in Scotland in order to enable the expansion of high value cargo traffic - and this request was eventually met in respect of Prestwick International Airport:

For many years SCDI has repeatedly called for full Fifth Freedom rights to be granted to foreign operators wishing to fly through Scotland. Lord Macdonald’s decision in 1999 to unilaterally grant Fifth Freedom rights to Glasgow Prestwick International Airport in an attempt to break the damaging deadlock that has stifled growth for many years was welcomed by SCDI. Although the total volume of freight flown from Scottish airports is a small proportion of total shipments, it is of high value and the importance of airfreight links for Scotland’s exporting companies, especially in the electronics sector, is immense.

3. Users' views, complaints and suggestions.

Reviewing the annual reports of the Air Transport Users Council, concerns about lost luggage on connecting flights, delayed flights and the need to open up the transatlantic market to companies working out of airports other than Heathrow all make an appearance (http://www.auc.org.uk/reports/0001report/0001report.pdf). Each of these issues is relevant to the development of an effective Scottish aviation gateway - both in terms of interlining and in terms of exploring other more direct options.

Another source of users' views is to be found in the Parliamentary questions put by MPs representing remote locations. The MP for Orkney and Shetland, Mr Alistair Carmichael called a debate and drew the attention of Westminster and the Government on the 8th May 2002 to the view that access to air travel was a matter of social exclusion given the remoteness of the islands from the full range of services:

Since 1997, the Government have placed great emphasis on the need for social inclusion. We in Orkney and Shetland regard air services and the provision of transport services as a matter of social inclusion. Social inclusion is as important for a peripheral island community as it is for a peripheral housing estate in Glasgow or Edinburgh.

Let me give a few examples of our transport arrangements. The ferry alternative to air services to Shetland is a 14-hour overnight journey from Shetland to Aberdeen. From Orkney, it is a two-hour ferry journey to Scrabster, and from there to Aberdeen is at least a four-hour car journey—I have done that, so I can tell hon. Members that four hours is pushing it slightly. In that context, air services are crucial.

The return ticket that I bought in Orkney for this week's journey to Westminster cost £528 plus taxes. I can say that without blanching and without needing to sit down because it is paid by the Fees Office. If I had to use my private or my business income to pay for it, I would be rather less sanguine about that sort of expenditure. The Minister can doubtless imagine how it is when, for example, a family suffers a sudden bereavement and has to fly south at short notice. The myriad conditions, such as having to fly on a Saturday, would result in the family not being entitled to cheap fares. Constituents have recently come to my surgery saying that it would cost in excess of £900 for two or three members of a family to attend a family funeral in Glasgow.

There is a massive knock-on extra cost for the provision of health services on the islands, because specialist services are increasingly provided from Aberdeen and Inverness. In education, the provision of orchestras or sports services or any extension of interest in drama involves travelling away from the islands. Doing that in a reasonable length of time is dependent on air services.

I hesitate to speak of rugby clubs in your presence, Mr. Deputy Speaker, but there is a fine one in my constituency. Orkney rugby football club is striving to get into Scottish national division four. For a community of our size, that is a considerable achievement. We have a budget of £40,000 a year to run that club. I hazard a guess that there is not another rugby club in the country that cannot pack the first 15 into four cars and drive them wherever they need to go. That is the extent of the burden that is placed on us, whereas many communities on the mainland take ease of travel for granted.

The constant threat to communities such as those that I represent is that of depopulation. To make those communities attractive so that people move to them and stay in them, they must be made accessible, but if one speaks of subsidising air routes, state aid rules comes into play. The Minister will be aware that derogations, through the provision of public service obligation orders, are allowed under European Union law. (http://www.parliament.the-stationery-office.co.uk/pa/cm200102/cmhansrd/cm020508/halltext/20508h05.htm).

Carmichael's arguments did not inspire the Minister responsible to consider a change in strategy (and indeed the Minister's responses paid little attention to either to the extreme character of the difficulties experienced by those in the Orkneys and the Shetlands or to the role of this region of the country in contributing to the economy through the channel of North Sea Oil), however, similar arguments on the link between air travel and social exclusion are made by the airport operators in their response to the Government's consultation document on the future of aviation:

It is essential that the new policy framework fully recognises the social benefits that derive from air transport. Access to air travel must be available to everyone and policies must be developed that encourage rather than deny or restrict these opportunities.Air travel cannot become socially exclusive and a preserve of the affluent. Air travel must therefore be positioned as an integral element of the nation's public passenger transport network.(http://www.wolverhamptonbusinessairport.co.uk/pages/aoa.htm

4. Options and actions.

Issues of ensuring the survival of 'thin' routes and the importance of thin routes in the development and sustainability of peripheral regions have surfaced in Government aviation policy documents - and the case is recognised for:

powers for slots to be protected for services to and from peripheral or development regions, and to prevent them from being traded away from that route; (http://www.aviation.dft.gov.uk/consult/future/08.htm)

in the proposal for the auctioning of landing and take off 'slots' at Heathrow and other congested airports.

The demography and geography of the Highlands and Islands of Scotland place severe constraints on the operation of the fully commercial transport models of communications and infrastructure provision adopted elsewhere within the United Kingdom. To hold to the commercial model would generate severe inequities in the quality of civic participation experienced by these remote areas. Even within aviation this has raised the issue of appropriate development strategies and the role within these of the public ownership of transport facilities: an example of this problem and the search for the appropriate solution is to be found in Highlands and Islands Airports Ltd which is in public ownership:

At the same time, we have increased our investment in other modes of transport. In the current period, and continuing through 2003-04, we have made substantial investment in public transport programmes. We are supporting bus services, particularly in rural areas; improving airport facilities in the Highlands and Islands, where we own Highlands and Islands Airports Ltd; and investing in new ferry services for Scotland's islands. By March 2004, we will have invested around £175 million through the public transport fund in order to tackle a variety of urban and rural issues. A further £15 million from the rural transport fund will be used specifically to provide new and better bus services, to support community bus services and, in some cases, to provide ferries in rural areas. So far, we have also spent £52 million on supporting local bus services through the bus fuel duty rebate. (http://www.scottish.parliament.uk/official_report/cttee/trans-02/tr02-1402.htm

Equity and development considerations are key in understanding the public ownership of Highlands and Islands Airports Ltd:

The company provides an efficient, economic and safe airport infrastructure of ten airports in the Highlands and Islands of Scotland - Barra, Benbecula, Campbeltown, Inverness, Islay, Kirkwall, Stornoway, Sumburgh, Tiree and Wick. These airports offer vital social, business and welfare links to otherwise remote communities. (http://www.hial.co.uk/annual-report.html)

The public ownership of airports is, however, only part of the sustainability equation of remote Scottish communities - these airports depend on the aviation activities of commercial airline companies for their survival and within this equation low cost airline operators such as Easyjet occupy a key role:

Our existing cross-border routes to Gatwick and Luton from Inverness continue to prosper as do those to the Central Belt, particularly Edinburgh. Where there is potential for increased frequencies and new routes (London, Amsterdam, Manchester/Birmingham, near Continent and Mediterranean) we continue to seek and encourage carriers. We await with interest the result of BA’s acquisition of BRAL, which latter operates the Inverness-Gatwick, Glasgow-Benbecula, Glasgow-Stornoway, Aberdeen-Sumburgh and Aberdeen-Kirkwall routes. I would like to take this opportunity to pay tribute to BRAL for its significant investment at Inverness and the ongoing success of the Inverness-London Gatwick route, to easyJet for the high volume of traffic it carries on its daily Inverness-London Luton service and not least to Loganair which operates into and out of all our airports and strives hard to improve the thin routes of the Highlands and Islands.(http://www.hial.co.uk/annual-report.html)

'Thin routes' in the Scottish context have an interesting contemporary history - the advent of oil with its much enlarged expansion of air traffic and then comparatively sudden reduction as the oil industry reduced its relative air traffic needs made for alterations in types of service arrangements made by commercial air line companies. The history of Loganair in its movement from an air taxi through various forms and formats and franchise arrangements with British Airways provides an example of the complexities of historically thin routes in peripheral areas of a modern economy where a boom and bust extractive cycle has taken place (http://www.loganair.co.uk/about_loganair/brief_history.htm).

Interestingly, Shetland - a major winner in the local capture of oil earnings - is interested in operating its own airport:

As a result of representations from Shetland Islands Council in 2000, Ministers invited the Council early in 2001 to prepare a business case to set out their objectives for taking over control of Sumburgh Airport from the Company. At the same time we were asked to co-operate with the Council in preparing this business case. It will be interesting to see the result of this initiative by the Council. We have also discussed with the Council and the Scottish Executive the results of the study on the East/West runway which indicates that the runway could be improved at a cost of £10 million. .(http://www.hial.co.uk/annual-report.html)

Orkney and Shetland have also raised the issue of Public Service obligation orders through a debate in Westminster:

The European Commission's third package of air transport liberalisation measures was adopted under Council regulation 2408, which trips very nicely off the tongue, in 1992. That regulation contains provisions under article 4 that permit the imposition of a public service obligation on scheduled air services within the European Union. Under the regulation, member states have the legal authority to impose a PSO in respect of scheduled air services on routes serving peripheral and development regions within their jurisdiction. The rationale for imposing a PSO should be based on the consideration that the maintenance of regular air services is vital for the economic development of the region in which the airport is located.

Furthermore, a PSO should be imposed where adequate provision of air services in terms of continuity, capacity and pricing would not be possible if air carriers considered solely their own commercial interests. That is very much the case in the highlands and islands. In selecting routes for PSO designation, member states are required to incorporate public interest considerations in addition to an assessment of the adequacy of services provided by alternative modes of transportation. A service that charges £528 plus taxes for travel between Orkney and London could not, within any reasonable definition of the term, be described as adequate.

I will examine briefly the experience of other countries within the EU that impose PSOs on domestic routes. The first example is that of France, where 46 domestic routes are subject to PSOs. The remarkable thing is that they are largely within France itself—they do not serve only island communities. A lot of them operate out of the big Paris airports. Some 18 of them have been imposed on links with Corsica, and the most expensive fare that I have been able to find linking Paris with Bastia or Calvi on Corsica is £84.

In Italy, there are PSOs on routes between Sardinia and Milan and Sardinia and Rome. The Cagliari-Rome route has eight round trips per day and the maximum one-way fare is £41. Sardinia has a much more robust economy than either of the two communities that I represent, but the Sardinians are supported by their central Government because they are valued by them. Sadly—this is not a comment on the present Government—Governments for time immemorial have failed to place a proper value on peripheral and island communities such as Orkney, Shetland or the Western Isles.

In Portugal there are PSOs on 10 domestic routes, four of them linking Lisbon or Oporto with the Azores. In 1999, the total subsidy was £16.9 million and 1.4 million passengers were carried. Again, we see the sort of community that is subject to all the conditions that are attached to PSOs by the EU and that is able to have PSOs placed on it. One has to wonder why, if we are all supposed to be on a glorious level playing field in the EU, people living in island communities in Italy, France, Spain and Portugal are given that sort of treatment by their Governments but we are not.

It is not, however, all about cheap fares. Fares are the most easily identifiable issue about which constituents who approach me speak most animatedly. With PSOs, there are all sorts of possibilities. With them comes the opportunity to stipulate minimum service standards, the size and nature of the aircraft that is to be provided, the seating capacity and the timetabling—people can leave the island for the mainland at a time of day that is useful and that will allow them to return when they have completed their business.

The penalties that can be imposed for non-compliance with a PSO are also of great importance. Many of the benefits that I see in the imposition of PSOs stem from the fact that at present we are greatly dependent on our air services, yet we have little control over them. I pay tribute in particular to Loganair, which operates the British Airways franchise to Orkney and Shetland. The company is meticulous about keeping me and my colleagues in the Scottish Parliament informed about what it is doing and how it feels the service can be better operated. That is because it chooses to do so. If it chose not to, I could do nothing about it.

For something that is so important to many aspects of island life, that measure of local control is absolutely essential. We already have some experience of PSOs, as all the internal flights within Orkney and Shetland operate under them. Until recently in Orkney, that was limited to a handful of flights. However, the difference that the operation of PSOs made to communities like Papa Westray and North Ronaldsay was immense. It gave them the confidence to attract and keep people in those vulnerable communities. What happens to North Ronaldsay today will happen to mainland Orkney in five or 10 years and, no doubt, to the rest of the highlands and islands in 20 years. If we allow that constant drip of depopulation, we shall eventually find that we are all living in London—and heaven help us when that happens.

It is probably awfully poor form to refer to one's maiden speech, but I cannot help recalling time and again something that I said when I first came to the House—that I come here to represent communities that are proudly self-reliant. We are not subsidy junkies; we have a great contribution to make to the rest of the United Kingdom, not least that which flows through Flotta and Sullom Voe in the form of revenue to the Treasury from the oil industry. We have a lot to offer. The strength of the United Kingdom comes from the diversity of its communities. There is an obligation on central Government to ensure the survival of the widest possible range of communities. If communities such as Orkney or Shetland, or even the smaller ones such as North Ronaldsay or Papa Stour, Papa Westray or Graemsay, are depopulated, we shall all be the poorer. (http://www.parliament.the-stationery-office.co.uk/pa/cm200102/cmhansrd/cm020508/halltext/20508h05.htm)

The comparison of the circumstances of British islands with other European islands in terms of air services and fares under the same European legislation, coupled with the contribution that Shetland makes through North Sea Oil to the British economy and its severe adverse transport circumstances raises the issue of a visible and transparent service deficit. The response of the Westminster Minister was to require the Westminster MP for Orkney and Shetland to pass through others to the Scottish Parliament to raise the issue of Public Service Obligation Order status for Orkney and Shetland: a suggestion which surely increases the deficit.

5. Conclusion: rethinking the future

Servicing Scotland's transcontinental aviation needs through Heathrow interlining is problematic in a context of intense international competition for Heathrow slots and thinness of many Scottish routes unless slots are explicitly preserved for these routes on a development and regional equity logic.

Similarly, there is a need to closely examine the role that Public Service Obligation Orders could play in ensuring that there are Scottish aviation gateways to full civic participation.

Widespread consultation is now being undertaken in Scotland on Scotland's aviation needs. The Secretary of State for Scotland entered the public discourse in September 2002 calling for widespread public participation in the consultation exercise. A new briefing by the Scotland Office on September 9th 2002 informs us:

Get involved in shaping the future of air transport in Scotland – that was the message being put forward by Secretary of State for Scotland, Helen Liddell, at a major aviation conference in Glasgow today. The conference, organised by the Scottish Executive with support from the Scotland Office, provided a platform for speakers to give an initial response to the joint aviation consultation document launched by the Department for Transport, Scotland Office, and Scottish Executive on 23 July 2002. The Secretary of State urged all key players from local authorities, airlines, airports, business’s and air transport users to let their views be known so that future policy could better reflect everyone’s needs.

Much of Scotland suffers the problems of a double periphery and attendant policy perspectives: at a distance from the British centre of activities and then at a distance from the local or regional centre representing rural Scotland's interest is no easy business. The rolling back of the public sector in favour of market solutions leave 'thin' regions in danger of destruction and extinction. The rolling back of the public sector necessitates new and innovative solutions for 'thin' regions (such as the Scottish Route Development Fund)and may indeed involve the rolling out of the public sector in these regions. Aviation is but one policy area in which purely market solutions constitute a crisis for the periphery: it is, however, a very important one and it is to be hoped that the Scottish consultation leads to the development of necessary innovative solutions.

References:

Department for Transport, The Future of Aviation: The Government's Consultation Document on Air Transport Policy (http://www.aviation.dft.gov.uk/consult/future/08.htm)

Loganair - A brief history. (http://www.loganair.co.uk/about_loganair/brief_history.htm

Scottish Council for Development and Industry, (2001) The Future Of Aviation: The Government’s Consultation Document On Air Transport Policy

On line materials:

http://www.aviation.dft.gov.uk/consult/airconsult/scotland/index.htm

http://www.scottishsecretary.gov.uk/News_2002/ss0132.htm

http://www.scotland.gov.uk/pages/news/2002/09/SEET119.aspx

http://www.epolitix.com/data/companies/images/companies/Freedom-to-Fly/260202.htm

http://www.transtat.dft.gov.uk/tables/2002/fperson/air02.htm


Notes: 1.The study of airports in the south east and east of England will consider whether the Government should encourage growth at regional airports in order to cater for some of the demand currently met by south east airports, bearing in mind that some 80 per cent of all passengers who end their journey at Gatwick and Heathrow airports have a final destination in the south east (DFT).

2. Fifth Freedom: The privilege for an airline registered in one state and en-route to or from that state to take on revenue passengers, mail and freight in a second state and to put them down in a third state.



[1] The Inverness- Heathrow air link, after being closed in 1997, was restored in 2004 ‘thanks to a deal between HIAL and bmi’ @  http://www.hial.co.uk/Default.aspx.LocID-014new119.RefLocID-01402w00h001.Lang-EN.htm